Wednesday, 1 October 2014

BBC reads and acts on my Tweets

On Monday 29th Sept, apologies for the mis-spellings, I tweeted:

  1. Is it not time someone asked Cameron what is his plan B if his renegotion fais? Salmond was pilloried by the Tories on this.
  2. Glad to see Nick Robinson took up my suggestion tonight on 6pm News

On the 10pm news up popped Nick Robinson again with the same item

Click below and skip 13mins 21 secs in to see the piece

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b04httg6/bbc-news-at-ten-30092014

It was Paxman v Howard all over again! Cameron was being evasive five times over and it showed.

Do I mind not being credited? Not really I just hope I get a lot more followers for my tweets. Iam @NortonSubHamdon. The link to this blog goes automatically out as one of my tweets.

I hope its Farage who gets this treatment from Robinson next time on what the URL link is to details of his expenses he claims are avalable on the web. I have never heard of anyone who could find them. My conclusion? They don't exist. Another chance for Mr Robinson to make Farage squirm.

Sunday, 28 September 2014

Suzanne Evans UKIP vice chair shows UKIP is just a Farage cult

Suzanne Evans is one of Farage's Johny come latelys to the UKIP party. She ticks all Nigel's boxes, former Tory, very flexible views and will jump sumersaults if Nigel whistles. Look at this effort:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ShQlPVHkV4

She outdrives Lewis Hamilton when it comes to U turns but Farage still remains in pole position on U turning, see

http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/tories-hijack-reckless-farage-event-rochester/4425

The old lags who have survived by only knowing the two words, "Yes Nigel" are no better. I gather Jill Seymour UKIP's very own chocolate teapot has been giving speeches on HS2. I wonder who wrote it?

Reckless by name, reckless by nature. I cannot believe a politician of his experience believes a word Nigel Farage says to the extent of giving up a safe Tory seat. I knew within two minutes of meeting Farage that he was not a man to trust in any political circumstances whatsoever. The way he regularly disowns UKIP members in media interviews speaks volumes. Sooner or later the media will catch on to this.standard Farage tactic.

Play this C4 clip for a laugh

http://blogs.channel4.com/michael-crick-on-politics/tories-hijack-reckless-farage-event-rochester/4425

I gather Tim Congdon is not standing again as UKIP PPC for Forest of Dean because of his involvement with on shore wind farms. Would that UKIP's belted Earl and Old Etonian showed similar standards of behaviour vis a vis on shore wind farming.

Vote Farage in Thannet!

Saturday, 27 September 2014

Tory Reckless defects to UKIP

Rochester & Strood, Tory majority almost 10000, MP Reckless has resigned forcing another by-election. This may not be the last Tory defection before Xmas.  The Tories are starting to split. They have had enough of Cameron whom they perceive as a closet LibDem.

Things are going UKIP's way or are they? Tory defectors won't help UKIP capture Labour seats in 2015 in fact they will be a big turn off for Labour voters up North. The real danger to Labour is the SNP in Scotland. If Labour can hold on in Scotland then they are home and hosed and Ed can stop talking to strange people on Hampstead Heath. A 10% share of the vote for UKIP in England will dish the Tories and even if Labour lose half their seats in Scotland they will still have a majority given the LibDems are disintegrating and their voters will largely go to Labour.

Wheeler puts UKIP at 8 to 10 seats and Bown puts UKIP at  5 to 10 seats. Ed can live quite comfortably with that. 10 UKIP MPs are not a problem. It will leave Farage if he wins Thanet South isolated from the EU dosh in Westminster, powerless and exposed to UK media scrutiny.

The coming October by elections in Clacton and Heywood will be very interesting.

Support Farage in Thanet!

Thursday, 25 September 2014

Farage is delusional

Tomorrow UKIP hits the big time. Hours of coverage of their party conference on BBC2 starting at 10:00 am something Farage has dreamed about but still he is not happy. He is accusing Cameron of scheduling his Iraq war debate to steal UKIP's conference publicity. Farage is barking. Yesterday there was an all day debate in the UN with Obama and all the big noises participating. Cameron and the FCO want to keep their place at the top table just like in the Buller so have to be seen to be doing something. Parliament has to be recalled. They remember being bounced into expensive bloody wars by warmonger Blair. Farage would be well advised to shut up and act patriotic. Its bad luck for UKIP but nothing will be gained by complaining. Tomorrow is a day for heavyweight UK politicians with lots of international relations experienced not jumped up ill educated oiks from down the pub..

Better for Farage to concentrate on the Heywood & Middleton where I expect UKIP to come second. Maybe if Farage made an effort to support the UKIP candidate they might win!

PS Tweet tonight from Isabel Hardman

In a press briefing after his speech, Farage conceded that the party wasn't going to win in Heywood. Post with that and other lines shortly

Wednesday, 24 September 2014

I love England

I am a Scot. I do not hate the English, I love and admire them despite when I worked for HMG I had to put up with numerous snide remarks and bad jokes from the Oxbridge mandarins which if I had been black would have merited referral to the race relations board/tribunal or whatever.

I worked for 20 years in Liverpool, a melting pot of English, Welsh, Irish and Scots. On the bar wall of Waterloo football club which of course plays rugby there is a photgraph from just before the First World War of the first XV which included the capatains of all 4 home countries that year. It could not have happened in any other place.  Liverpool has two cathedrals built in the last 100 years and connected by Hope Street!

Liverpool has had a very bad deal from HMG littered even in the 1970s by WWII bomb damage. More memorable were the former merchant seaman who had crewed the ships that kept Britain supplied. I knew several who had been torpedoed and sunk not once but three times on the North Atlantic and a couple who had been on the Arctic convoys to Murmansk. The were incredible men who received no recognition from HMG. It might have been different if they had gone to Eton. Bomber command suffered the same fate. The memorial to their 50000+ dead is on Plymouth Hoe well out of London. They were just politically inconvenient fror Churchill after the war. At the end of the day he was just one more sordid politician who changed parties twice  - ask the Welsh miners.

The Mancs, Geordies, Yorkies and Brummies all have similar strong regional identies and have also had a poor deal from HMG post war. They deserve better and should be given a structure and powers the same as Scotland. they will run themselves far better than the Oxbridge elite we currently have. Money will stay in the region rather than being syphoned off to London.

London is currrently booming but so was Tesco five tears back. It has problems developing. The EU is clearly out to pinch a big chunk of its finanacial business and with the UK political eleite wedded to the EU they will meet little opposition to this money grab from Brussels. London also has a mega housing and immigration problem which will lead inevitably to civil unrest and destruction of property.

London is now like the American cities with fewer rich whites  in the centre as those who can, flee to the largely white suburbs.  This is not a problem in Scotland where I was impressed how well the Sikhs, Indians and Pakistanis had integrated and mixed into the community  It certainly is not a problem in Liverpool but is a problem in the English Midlands particularly in Leicester, Birmingham.the Souh Yorks Rotherham area and Rochdale in Lancashire.  I watched the clip of Sadeq Khan's Labour conference speech where he referred to the Rotheram abuse scandal but carefully avoided pointing out that most of these abusers were of Pakistani origin. This guy is the shadow justice secretary surely bad news if Labour win.

When in Scotland I was very struck by how well Pakistanis and Sikhs were integrated into the body politic. It is not the same in England where of course the problem is much bigger.

Giving more power to English regions is essential to help this integration. I hope it comes soon.

Monday, 22 September 2014

Where did UKIP candidate John Bickley grow up?

This is John Bickley UKIP's candidate  in the Heywood & Middleton byelection.

JohnBickleyPortrait.jpeg


Michael Crick on Twitter today



  1. To avoid doubt or confusion in any future by-elections, maybe keen Ukip candidate John Bickley should tell us now all the places he grew up
  2. In June, when Bickley picked as Ukip cand for Weaver Vale, Cheshire, he was glad to stand for "local" seat as lived 20 years in Cuddington
  3. John Bickley, Ukip by-election cand, says he was raised on council est in Middleton. Yet in Feb Ukip said he grew up on a Wythenshawe estate


Oh Dear! What has Comrade Nuttall not been doing. It seems pretty easy to clear up just. publish Mr Bickley's CV.

Expect more of this in the run up to the General election. I hope other UKIP candidates' CVs are clean..

Saturday, 20 September 2014

EU wins Scottish Referendum

I cry for my beloved country. The only winner is the EU hence Juncker & Barroso's delight at the result. It has solved the Catalan , Flemish and other nationalist problems for the EU at a stroke.. Step forward Cam, Milliband and Clegg to take the grateful thanks of their sacred EU. Charlemagne prize for the three amigos?

 Alex Salmond may have lost this battle and exhausted, resigned the leadership, but his cause will triumph within ten years. Farage can never do what Salmond did and deliver an in/out referendum to the people of the UK.

The campaign and its aftermath was a sickening display of LibLabCon opportunism. Hence Cameron's immediate post result attempt to shaft Labour by tying the promised new powers for Scotland to giving similar powers to Wales, Northern Ireland and England. How on earth does he propose to implement the latter? There is no English parliament to give such powers to.

The LibDems are and have been irrelevant for years. As the Mail on Sunday wrote on Clegg some months ago,

 “His wife is Spanish, his mother Dutch, his father half-Russian and his spin doctor German. Is there ANYTHING British about Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg?”


Labour/Milliband are desperately trying to kick the issue into the long grass with their propsed consult the people (How?) constitutional conference lasting years to allow Ed a decent time in Downing Street to wreck the economy.

It was horrible to see Labour gleefully  dancing to the Tories' tune. I quote from Owen Jones excellent piece in Wednesday's Daily Mail,

"Banks and other corporate giants warning that the roof will cave in; a near-hysterical media that leaves broad swaths of public opinion ignored – if the Labour leadership wants to know what to expect in the runup to next year’s election, they should regard the establishment campaign against Scottish independence as a foretaste of what is to come. But therein lies the problem, of course. Labour’s leaders have cheered on this campaign, and will be reminded of this fact at every opportunity when they complain of “scaremongering” when the same strategy is directed at them in the spring months of 2015."

Labour will pay a heavy price for this and their inevitable failure to deliver on the Daily Record pledge.

Vow: The promise to Scotland's voters was delivered on the front page of the left-wing Daily Record newspaper

Labour have sold the moral high ground for a mess of cheap newspaper shots.



So why did Salmond lose the vote? Darling ran a FUD campaign, Fear Uncertainty and Doubt. Negative and unpleasant and it is the favourite tool of Cameron's Aussie Crosby. Negative campaigning however works as has been shown in numerous elections round the world.

Salmond could have neutralised this but his preparation was not good enough. There are two main reasons  which better preparation could have reversed. I lean on Ashcrofts post election poll of 2000 voters on why No voters voted how they did.

click on link below

http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Lord-Ashcroft-Polls-Referendum-day-poll-summary-1409191.pdf

The pound/currency issue was cited by 57% of No voters as why they voted No. Nobody could stop an independent Scotlannd using the pound. The UK government extended this courtesy to the Irish for 50 years from 1927 until they entered the ERM. At the same time as the IRA were murdering UK soldiers! So Mr Darling why was it OK for the Irish but not the Scots?

There are few who understand how central banking works. Darling and Jonah Brown are not amongst them. Central bank's can create money to pay govenment debts in their own currency as the BoE is doing right now with its euphemistically entiled QE programme. But when there was a run on Northern Rock, the first such run on a UK bank for over 150 years it was HMT not the BoE that had to guarantee depositors cash and even then only up to £80k the previous limit had been a little known de facto £18k. So bank runs are very rare events and could have been avoided for Northern Rock by proper enforcement of banking regulations Rules that Jonah Brown waived  for his sordid political ends.

The second part of the answer concerns a countries' reserves. Scotland has a lot of oil on which tax revenues accrue. You can securitise this secure revenue stream as bonds which could be sold or used as collateral internationally. This would give easily £50 bn ample to back Scottish banks but with proper regukation enforcement it would not be needed.

So proper enforcement of bank rules plus securitisation of future oil tax revenues and problem solved.

Pensions were cited by 37% of No voters. Central government pensions are like government debt a charge on HMT. Private pensions are paid from returns on sterling denominated securities. Pension contributions would continue to be made in Sterling which Scotland would be using as a currency.

Trickier would be police and local authority pensions which are unfunded and are paid out of rates revenue. Scottish Police and bureaucrats would just be in the same boat as everyone else and paid in Salmond's sterling.

Defence and security was cited by 29%. Easy get rid of nuclear weapons as have the Nordic countries and the problem disappears.

I have not considered issues like the NHS or other issues which were rated nore important by Yes voters than No voters.

That covers the most important policy points but there were also tactical reasons Salmond lost

They did not get their vote out particularly in their strong areas. Glasgow and Dundee only had a 75% turnout compared with the average 84%.

Brown's last minute intervention promising loads of goodies needed an immediate attack on Brow who created the UK debt mountain and was a disastrous PM

It should have been pointed out how much the EU would lose in fishing rights if Scotland  was not allowed into the EU and that of course Scotland could join Norway in EFTA and us their trade deals.

Its all water under the bridge. On that day, 18th Sept 2014 Scotland was a sovereign nation. The pity is they chose to return power to the corrupt Westminster poilitical elite.

Nicola Sturgeon is an able, likeable woman. The cause will not die and Scotland will rise again. All Nicola has to do in the short term is to sit back and watch the 3 amigos fall out whilst the fourth horseman of the apocalypse, Jonah Brown drops them deeper in the mire.