Thursday, 18 December 2014

UKIP is on the way down

I have not long returned from my winter cruise ship break. I was largely out of touch for the period 2nd to 16th December but the political news that did come through about UKIP was very negative. Farage upsets breast feeding mothers. Farage blames immigrants for being held up on the M4 going to a meeting. UKIP official accused by female candidate of trying to bed her. UKIP candidate in race row rant. The scorned Mrs Hamilton tweets,  a “cryptic” message warning of a “spy in the camp” hours before the man who replaced her husband as Ukip’s candidate in a key seat was forced to stand down over a bigoted rant plus "watching people dig their own graves is rather fun…"

Worse, Nigel Farage has been likened to Jesus by Ukip's Commonwealth spokesman, Winston McKenzie. The Eurosceptic "army" was behind their leader, who can "do no wrong". 

"Jesus was one man, we're his army. Farage is one man, and we’re his army and that's what it's all about", he says. "Farage is like (non-stick) Teflon – he can do no wrong. Everywhere he goes, it doesn't matter what he says or does - he gets away with it".
This must be having an efffect in the polls. Richard North today did the same:

"we see today a Guardian/ICM poll which puts Ukip on 14 percent, down from the heady heights of 19-20 percent it was getting in October/November. 

The latest YouGov poll poll has 16 percent – up from 14 percent over the weekend, but again down from the peaks it was getting earlier."

The latest IPSOS Mori poll after the RN blog confirms this:





The wheels are coming off. UKIP support has lost 6 points since I went on holiday from 20% to around 14 % 

I don't care what happens to UKIP. A party whose leaders Farage and Johny come lately Helmer take the EU 30 pieces of silver against the vote of their members deserves a good kicking come May. I want to get my country out of the EU. UKIP will never achieve that with Farage as leader. For the sake of our cause Farage has to be got rid of and the anti EU argument pre May articulated by Carswell & Congdon.

Sunday, 30 November 2014

Steve Crowther, UKIP's useless chairman

On Sunday West politics today

Click on http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b04pv5ll/sunday-politics-west-30112014

and fast forward in 38 nins to watch Crowther's bumbling inept performance. Its a while since I have seen Crowther. I first met him when I was on the NEC and he was trying to suck up to me. I gave him the bum's rush as I don't like onvious sycophancy so he found someone else who likes sycophants sucking up to him all the time viz N Farage. He was on today with Liam Fox who could scarcely keep a straight face at some of Crowther's inane comments. The BBC strap line said Crowther had been elected party chairman in 2010. Completely untrue. Crowrher was appointed by Farage to succeed another Farage syco appointee P Nuttall. Crowther however manages to make Nuttall look like a political genius something I would have said was impossible until I heard Crowther.

Crowther was caught out time and time again by mild mannered David Garmston and even the guest Romanian ran rings round him! I now understand why UKIP fields their deputy chairman Suzanne Evans as much as possible for TV shows and keeps Crowther out of sight. Now la Evans main tactic is to grin inanely, obviously copying Tony Blair, and gets caught out frequently on the statements of the great leader. UKIP should produce a little red book, the latest policies of Nigel Farage, update it every evening and email it to la Evans each night as compulsory bed time reading. Its important to keep up to date with Nigel's every changing views. He is a true political weather vane.

Evans has one obvious advantage, she is a presentable looking lady. Crowther looks like a wild and wooly Lib Dem and is even more as confused than the average LibDem. He could not even give a clear concise answer when asked what is the difference beween UKIP and the Tories. He waffled on and failed to answer a very easy question.

Liam Fox was as always very good, concise nd clear and made mincemeat of Crowther. UKIP have to ditch Crowther asap as chairman or face even more car crashes like today's which will cripple their electoral efforts this May.

Friday, 28 November 2014

Cameron's big immigration speech

I thought this was a well judged balanced address appealing to both the Tory sceptics and pointing out a few home truths to the Brussels bureaucracy  and appealing to Mutti Merkel but making no commitments. Indeed the young fogey, Rees Mog opined the speech had been sent to Mutti for approval befored the JCB delivery. Going for in-work benefits was a no brainer. Anything more would have been vetoed by the EU, anything less would have inflamed the Tory sceptics that sit behind him.

So he has talked the talk but can he walk the walk and deliver on his 4 year no benefits for migrants pledge. My former BoE colleague got a real pasting on the AN show on one simple question from the Sun's political editor Tom Newton Dunn, "How will you actually deport those EU immigrants who have not found a job in the allotted 6 months?". Collapse of Hancock!. Oh dear , he cannot answet a simple practical question but is so desperate to keep in with the whips he will do anything they ask.

The devil is in the simple practical detail! Oborne emphasised this in his brief piece in the Daily Mail online today.

"Today he (Cameron)  tried to sell the Gaullist vision of a Europe of sovereign states collaborating in a common endeavour. This vision involves compromise, endless attention to detail, and an ability to build alliances across Europe. On the basis of Mr Cameron’s speech this morning, I now believe he is capable of selling the Eurosceptic case to the rest of the EU and winning. He is a most formidable politician."

Well I don't know about the Gaullist bit and I would describe him as slippery rather than formidable and like all our LibLabCon politicians does not do detail but he has started to pull the rug from under UKIP and has made things a lot more difficult for Farage. Cams other great edge is he has a lot of able politicians round him. You could never call Nuttall, Arnott or Seymour politically able and that's only the three I know personally from 5 years ago. I am sure the new intake of UKIP MEPs has many of similar intellectual standing. Unless Carswell, Reckless & O'Flynn take charge of UKIP's campaign quickly 5 May 2015 might turn into 18 June 1815 revisiited for Napoleon Farage and his Old Guard. Merde!.

The one who does detail very well is Alex Salmond. Last night on the AN This Week show Alex ran rings round Portillo who was close to losing it at the the end. Portillo prides himself on his mastery of precision and detail but met his better last night. Dianne Abbott who is quite close to Alex politically and was sat next to Portillo enjoyed the demolition of Portillo immensely. At the end when AN asked Alex about his future plans he said he was not sure but he could always make TV programmes about boring railway journeys. Woo, woo!

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Why are our politicians so stupid?

Chris Huhne: career destroyed because he was stupid enough to lie about who was driving his car when it was clocked by a speed camera.
Aidan Burley: career destroyed because he was stupid enough to go to a stag party where a guest was dressed as a Nazi.
Patrick Mercer: career destroyed because he was stupid enough to fall for a sting by reporters posing as dodgy lobbyists.
Maria Miller: career destroyed because she was stupid enough not to show contrition for a row about her expenses.
Brooks Newmark: career destroyed because he was stupid enough to send compromising pictures of himself to people he didn’t know over the internet.
Emily Thornberry: career destroyed because she was stupid enough to post a disparaging tweet about a voter and now

Andrew Mitchell career destroyed by his failed libel case 

Three former cabinet ministers plus a shadow cabinet minster. The creme de la creme of our political elite. I cry for our country ruled by these people.

Immigration figures do not tally with National Insurance Nos

I quote from Guido
  • National Insurance Number (NINo) registrations to adult overseas nationals increased by 12% to 668,000 in the year ending September 2014 from the previous year. Romanian citizens had the highest number of registrations (104,000), followed by Polish citizens (98,000).
  • 32,000 Romanian and Bulgarian citizens immigrated last year, a statistically significant increase from 18,000 in the previous 12 months.
Why does each Romanian need 3+ NI numbers? Something for the Rolls Royce minds of HMT to ponder.

Better news for UKIP in Red Ed's seat. If the Tories don't want Red Ed in Downing Street vote UKIP in Doncaster. Simples!

Wednesday, 26 November 2014

UKIP to put Red Ed into No 10. More from Emily Thornberry

The latest ITV Comres poll of the marginals shows:

marginals comres

This is based on 40 closest marginals where Labour & Tory were neck and neck in 2010 but now Labour has a 8% lead.

ITV report in these seats twice as many Tory voters would switch to UKIP (21%) as Labour voters (10%) So UKIPcould change result.

Interesting that Gudo reports UKIP press lady,the one who sponsors a child in Ghana according to NF, was seen talking today with Labour press man. Something is going on.

ITV poll also reports in these seats 36% prefer Tory govt, 41% prefer Labour. But OPPOSITE for Prime Minister: 44% prefer Cameron as PM, 26% Miliband as PM.

Marginal seats are a result of our corrupt electoral system and means the government is decided by 50000 swng voters in these constituencies so no wonder we get crap governments as the head honchos sit in their safe seats whilst the whole political agenda is tailored to those 50000 voters.

Guido has a great story about Emily Thornberry's QC father in law. (This is presumably what Alan A. J. Johnston meads by social mobility.)

I quote from Gfuido


Emily Thornberry has silenced her eminent father-in-law from speaking out to the press about Ed Miliband and the White Van Dan row. After Edward Nugee was contacted by a diarist from the Daily Mail, Thornberry called the paper back threatening to report them to IPSO and claiming that her husband’s old man was non compos mentis.
For some context ‘Ted’ Nugee remains a practising QC and recently wrote at length to the Times about the legal intricacies concerning sanctions on Russia. But according to a raging Thornberry, the octogenarian was confused because he’s sick and ailing.
When the journalist then phoned Sir Ted to apologise, the QC denied anything of the sort and said he was jolly cross at the suggestion. In fact Nugee Sr. later apologised to the journalist in question for causing them any trouble.


Here is a pic of old Ted without his wig on




He looks fine to me.

Tuesday, 25 November 2014

Owen Patterson looks like the real deal to get us out of the EU

Owen Patterson, non-OE, was sacked by Dave as Environment Sec to up the woman head count in his Old Etonian cabinet by appointing Liz Truss. Dave also sacked Michael Gove, non-OE, as Education Sec largely for the same reason to appoint Nicola Morgan who has obeyed the Education establishment Blob from her first day. Gove was a minister who was effective in raising school standards. Dave kept Gove in a semi-detached cabinet position as chief whip. Dominc Grieve, OE ,was removed as Attorney General. He abstained on Dave's same sex marriage bill, Wikipedia says of Grieve,

"On 22 November 2013 he was reported as stating politicians need to "wake up" to the issue of corruption in some minority communities [15] and that "corruption in parts of the Pakistani community is “endemic”".[16] Two days later he apologised and said he had not meant to suggest there was a 'particular problem in the Pakistani community' Its a pity when the Attorney General has to apolgise for telling the truth.

So Dave has lost 2.5 good guys for a couple of pretty useless women. Its unthinking prescription politics.

As I write I watch todays Daily Politics doing a straw poll on Farage's suitability to be PM. Overwhelmingly NF was described as a joke even by the blokes and given a 100% thumbs down by the women.

Cometh the hour cometh the man to get us out of the EU and that man is Patterson. Read the boiling frog & Richard North by clicking below,

http://thefrogsalittlehot.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/owen-paterson-on-eu-exit.html


http://www.eureferendum.com/

His views are also written up by the Telegraph,

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/11250723/Owen-Paterson-Tory-MPs-who-defect-are-stupid.html

Patterson is a serious politician. Farage is a Hartlepool monkey joke and is inreasingly recognised by the voters as such, watch today's Daily   Politics. If Farage can lead us out of the EU then I will personally organise a petition to put a statue of him on the vacant plinth in Trafalgar Square.

To get us out will require an exercise in political coalition building. Nigel Farage does not do collegiate concensus building. He is a cult leader. It will also require a cogent policy platform. Nigel does not do policy, Finally it will require a huge management/logistic effort. Nigel doe not do management. He likes the flattery of unintelligent sycophants.

It all adds up to someone like Patterson to get us out of the EU,