Tuesday, 28 October 2014

Diane James must front up UKIP's General Election campaign.

Mrs James is now UKIP's biggest electoral asset. Many people like her and more important few dislike her. The LibDems made their big break through under Charlie Kennedyin 2005. Living so close to Paddy I know how the LibDem establishment disliked Charlie but the great British public, men and women liked him and in 2005 he got more seats than Cleggy without the TV leaders debate exposure Cleggy was given in the TV leaders debate.

The UKIP faithful most of whom have never met or tried to work with him, may love Farage but the public like Mrs James. Its the same mistake Labour are making. With Alan Johnston as leader Cameron and Clegg are toast. People like Alan Johnston. Milliband is just plain unlikeable and this will be people's perception of Farage at the end of the election campaign. He is not an attractive person to women and will increasingly be perceived as rentaqote man with a glib answer to everything but answers that falls apart under pressure.

Farage's favourite trick of disowning other UKIP spokesmen is even now starting to wear a bit thin with the public. It also must be annoying the hell out of O'Flynn and Mrs James. Farage is past his sell by date. His past statements are catching up on him and the more he talks on camera the worse this problem will get for UKIP. But who is going to tell him to shut up?

If it were the Tory party the men in grey suits would right now be tapping Nigel on the shoulder and talking about the greater good of the party trumping his personal ambitions. That is the trouble with leader personality cults. Nobody dare say the emperor now has no clothes.

Monday, 27 October 2014

Who will be the first UKIP MEP to fall out with Farage

Farage has a long track record of losing MEPs rather quickly as he rounds up the EU Euros and corals them in the IOM . The current crop of UKIP MEPs are  to say the least undistinguished however in the interests of livening things up I will give odds on when the first excommunication will be ordered by Pope Farage the infallible.

Those who have gone before like Nikki have often cited Nigel's nasty mid- European neo fascist friends that he has in Brussels. Bannerman developed a middle aged crush and undying admiration for Dave and Marta found the laissez fair UKIP finances difficult to stomach and also joined the Tories..

I find this difficult as I know less than half the new intake who seem to be ex-Tories who have jumped on the bandwagon ,sorry joined the party in the last two years or so.

There are very few who could perhaps find a berth in another party on their own merits:

O'Flynn, Diane James and possibly Aker and Woolfe

Then there is the old guard who would never get preferment in any other party

The rest are Johnny come lately morally flexible ex-Tories and fit the description easy come easy go and only have the leader's fickle favour to recommend them.

After the General election May 2015 reality will dawn when UKIP win only a handful of MPs. In disappointment blame will be delegated to those judged disloyal by the Fuerher. I would rate this an even money chance by end 2015. If Farage is then in Westminster and has to resign as an MEP then the Brussels mice will play. In that scenario with Farage struggling to make a mark in Westminster there would eventually be many Bannerman like MEP defections back to the Tories to secure their 2019 place on the gravy train as Bannerman secured his this year and Andreasen just missed. I would expect an increasing number of UKIP MEP defections as June 2019 approaches. How many? Around 15 in total seems a good central estimate with a range 10 to 20.

Sunday, 26 October 2014

UKIP's weakness & the EU's strength

Currently UKIP is on a roll with Farage claiming they are taking votes from Labour as much as the Tories. That claim will fall apart in the 2015 General Election as the backgrounds of UKIP's candidates are examined. Looking at their current crop of MEPs it looks like the Tory third reserve team with people like Helmer, Etheridge, Legge etc  ie those who failed to get nominated for  a safe seat. They may apppeal to Tory dissidents but there is no way Labour voters will vote for old or young Tories. Even their women are old Tories, Diane James and more obviously Suzanne Evans. Nice ladies but they are no Charlotte Leslies.

Can anyone name a current UKIP MEP or NEC member who was previously a member of the Labour party?

Alex Salmond's SNP came so close to winning in the Scottish referendum by presenting themselves as more socialist than Labour. UKIP have to recognise this and present themselves in this light in Labour held seats and have former Labour members as candidates. That is the way to win. Its the tactic the LibDems used to get up to the 55 to 60 seat mark. Will Farage do it? Of course not he is the biggest failed Tory of the lot. Does he want a group of socialist inclined MPs? Certainly not and neither do the UKIP members and ex-members like the Major. They prefer old Etonians and Eton mess.

The EU's strength is they know the system, play it and run it. France has more than twice as many EU officials as the UK. It helps if you are making the rules and interpreting them but UK officialdom compounds this by gold plating the regulations. Nick Watt pointed this out today on the Sunday Politics opining that this was the probable cause of the £1.7 bn tax demand. I did not know prostitutes were diligent at submitting tax returns. Possibly Latvian pole dancers are more diligent in this area.

Friday, 24 October 2014

EU supports UKIP!

Four days ago I opined that Barroso was UKIP's biggest electoral asset. Little did I think this would be confirmed within 4 days with the announcement of the EUs demand for £1.7 billon extra, roughly £57 per head of the UK population to be paid by 1st Dec. Farage certainly fulfils Napoleon's main criteria for success, he is lucky!

The Tories are clearly toast in the coming Rochester by-election and Cameron must be sick as a parrot about the way the 'colleagues' have kippered him.

Farage was grinning like a Cheshire Cat on the Daily Politics saying Dave would have to pay up and clearly annoying the hell out of Dave's token Asian. Toryboy Pierce was weeping buckets for poor Dave.

The cause of this mess was the usual, a failure to read and understand the relevant treaty clauses by the Rolls Royce minds of the FCO and HMT and ministers who could not be bothered to ask the awkward questions. I well remember having to lecture such minds of the importance of reading bond covenants in detail.

Stil Farage is not in the clear, rather he is still in the mire over his new Polish friend. I quote from the Sun,s weekly Heroes and Villains piece..



"For a man who preaches about putting principle above cynical Westminster policking, it's been a poor week for Nigel Farage. Ukip’s charismatic boss 'fessed up to doing a squalid little deal to join forces with a far right Polish MEP just to get his paws on £1.5m of taxpayers' funding.
Some perspective: Robert Iwaszkiewicz’s party too pro-Nazi even for France's National Front, who refused a similar link up. Farage made it worse by then laughing off as “a joke” ugly comments by the Pole on how wife beating can have its benefits.
The week’s second disaster was a bad miscalculation to allow ex-Radio 1 DJ Mike Read to sing about immigration in a Caribbean accent. Whether it was racist or not, and it probably wasn’t intended to be, it smelled bad and upset folk – and ended in the PR shambles of mortified Read withdrawing the song, and the poe-faced British Red Cross even refusing to take the money it raised as a donation.
Raise your moral game Nige, if you want to be taken seriously."

Note how the Sun calls Farage UKIP's boss not leader!

Thursday, 23 October 2014

Farage agrees with me!

I blogged on 10th October how UKIP should have won Heywood & Middleton,

https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=6112651969466158066#editor/target=post;postID=4139724468400044526;onPublishedMenu=allposts;onClosedMenu=allposts;postNum=7;src=postname


Now it is reported,

"UKIP are buoyant at the moment and are confident they can pull off a win which just a few days ago would have been considered highly unlikely. It is worth learning the lesson of another recent by-election: Labour’s win over UKIP in Heywood and Middleton by just 600 votes.
One senior UKIP source tells me they would have won the seat if the party had diverted resources from Clacton - which was in the bag - up north. However, I’m told UKIP HQ insisted on putting everything they had behind Douglas Carswell because “we owed him” for defecting. Understandable, yet notable nonetheless that privately the party is kicking itself for not doing everything it could in Heywood."

A senior UKIP source is code for Farage! You can read the original at

http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/10/23/Snapshot-UKIP-on-course-to-win-Rochester-and-Strood

On 20th October I blogged that Barroso was currentlyUKIP's greatest asset,

https://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=6112651969466158066#editor/target=post;postID=1818742416060261819;onPublishedMenu=allposts;onClosedMenu=allposts;postNum=2;src=postname

I find on Twitter Farage now thinks the same. Click below and listen!

 http://order-order.com/2014/10/22/nigel-farage-at-gf10/


Del Young and I always said we knew what Farage would say/do before he even knew himself. Seems nothing has changed so if you want to know Farage's next move read this blog..

Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Farage's new EFD Polish recruit advocates wife beating

Farage has little appeal to women voters in the UK. To find he has just gone out and recruited a Polish MEP who advocates wife beating in some circumstances will do nothing to enhance his appeal to women voters of the UK. I quote from the euobserver the words of Mr Robert Iwaszkiewicz, Faragges new recruit from Poland’s far-right KNP party:

'Iwaszkiewicz himself, a 52-year old entrepreneur, was in May asked by Polish daily Gazeta Wroclawska whether it is acceptable for men to hit their wives. “I’m sure there’s quite a few wives around who would be brought back down to earth by such a reaction”, he replied.'





The KNP party was rejected by Marine LePen as a parliament partner because it was too extreme and racist!

Nuttall was on today's Daily Politics claiming Iwaskiewicz was joining the EFD group in a personal capacity. Hermann Kelly, an EFDD spokesman, said Iwaszkiewicz signed up last Thursday, before the Latvian quit, meaning the group never broke up in the first place. Two quite unbelievable statements.

It all goes to show how far Farage will go to trouser the EU geld plus enhance his front bench speaking rights which he also does in a personal capacity!  

How he appears to British women voters obviously comes low down in Farage's list of priorities but its these women that can put UKIP MPs into Westminser and get us out of the EU! Says a lot about Farage for those who are objective enough to see it.

Read full article:

http://euobserver.com/political/126151


PS from the Sun

UK Jews Board of Deputies furious with UKIP: "To choose figure as Robert Iwaszkiewicz as bedfellow, apparently for money, is beyond belief"

No its just Nigel's scale of values!


Women of Britain and Kosher boys Vote Farage in Thannet!

Monday, 20 October 2014

Barroso is UKIP's greatest electoral asset

Barroso is what my boyhood hero Biggles would have called a dago but it is Barroso that has been ruling the UK for the last 10 years. Poor old Biggles wil be rotating in his Sopwith Camel in the sky.

I remember when the Treaty of Rome was being negotiated. It was founded on free movement of capital and labour ie people changing country to work not to claim benefits for their children back home. Milton Friedman the great American economist and founder of monetarism pointed out frequently that a welfare state, ie the UK, could not co-exist with an open door immigration policy, ie the EU as we now have it. Did the political elite listen. Of course not, they are the elite and always know best and that is why we are now in the mess we are in having given up our veto on EU rules that damage our country.

The Rome Treaty was designed to prevent another European war between France & Germany with the hidden agenda of France runnng Europe and the Germans being subservient. Its now clear the French cannot run their own country let alone Europe and it is Germany that has had to step in and run the EU in its own right. Dangerous as Germany has got its Prussian military wing back.

We have got into this mess by our suppine political elite not resisting the EU salami slicing approach to taking over our country. The result is a military dwarf that  thinks it is a superpower. The EU cannot defend itself and has to rely on the hated Americans to stop Putin. Chairman Mao in his little Red book wrote that political power grows out of the barrel of a gun but the EU has no guns to stand up to the Red Army that defeated the Wehrmacht in 1943/44. Nevertheless idiots like Barroso and Juncker go on interfering in the Ukraine. The EU will be the cause of the next European conflict not its solution.

Barroso was on Marr yesterday laying down the EU law to us! Gold dust for Biggles Farage and there is no man bettter able to capitalise on this than Farage. Barroso and Juncker are forcing call me Dave into opposing the EU root and branch. Great! Cometh the hour cometh the man and that is starting to look more like Nigel Farage than David Cameron.

Vote Farage in Thannet!